Items
of Interest
Hearth
and Home
HURRY
UP WILL YOU
Catering
to the time-crunched consumer, manufacturers such as Viking Range,
TurboChef Technologies and Wolf Appliance are pitching a range
of extra-fast appliances that promise to cook or clean in a fraction
of the time of traditional devices, notes the Wall Street Journal.
New induction cook tops use magnetism to channel heat directly
to a pot or pan. High-speed ovens rely on a combination of microwaves
and fast-blown air. And fast-cool compartments in refrigerators
blow cold freezer air on beverages. German appliance-maker Miele
just launched a restaurant dishwasher configured for home use
that offers cycles as fast as 10 minutes. But kitchen designers
say that consumers may not be willing to pay more than double
for such appliances when they can get high-quality take-out instead,
though supposedly not for washing those dishes. Nevertheless,
appliance makers are betting on speed to boost lackluster sales.
Appliance makers are even touting features that will save time
on little things: Sears's Kenmore brand recently introduced a
speed-brew coffee maker and a toaster that cuts about 60 seconds
out of the process of browning bread. Sears and other manufacturers
have also rolled out dryers with steam "refresh" cycles
that aim to de-odorize and de-wrinkle clothes in around 15 minutes.
One of Viking's new ovens - which uses air moving as fast as 44
miles an hour to cook food five times faster than a conventional
oven - starts at $2,300. TurboChef just unveiled a consumer oven
that uses a new technology to cook food up to 15 times faster
- touting, among other feats, the four-minute rack of lamb. It
starts at $6,000.
SLEEP
WELL
All new
mattresses and mattress sets must meet revised fire-safety standards,
according to the Consumer Product Safety Commission, reports the
Washington Post. The commission's new guidelines do not make mattresses
fireproof. But the measures are expected to slow fires by controlling
the spread of open flames, decreasing fire intensity and delaying
what is called flashover, when the entire mattress is engulfed
in flames. Under the current standards, that fearsome point can
be reached in less than five minutes. The commission estimates
that at least 240 mattress fire-related deaths and more than 1,000
injuries will be prevented with the new rules, by giving people
more time to escape. Manufacturers can comply by coating mattresses
in chemicals or by making them with fire-retardant materials.
New mattresses that meet the guidelines will carry a mandatory
label referring to the commission's new rule, 16 CHR Part 1633.
Look for the label, because stores will be allowed to sell non-compliant
mattresses they had in stock before the rule took effect.
Research
BUILDER
CONFIDENCE SLUMPS TO LOWEST LEVEL IN 16 YEARS
Ongoing concerns about
subprime-related problems in the mortgage market and newfound
concerns about rising prime mortgage rates caused builder confidence
homes to decline two more points in June, according to the National
Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market
Index (HMI). With a reading of 28, the HMI now is at the lowest
level in its current cycle and has reached the lowest point since
February 1991. "It's clear that the crisis in the subprime
sector has prompted tighter lending standards in much of the mortgage
market, and interest rates on prime-quality home mortgages have
moved up considerably during the past month along with long-term
Treasury rates," commented NAHB Chief Economist David Seiders.
"Home sales most likely will erode somewhat further in the
months ahead and improvements in housing starts probably will
not be recorded until early next year."
OVERHEATED
HOUSING MARKETS COOL DOWN
A new study says the
number of homes in overvalued markets dropped in the first quarter
of 2007, according to CNNMoney. A report from the financial service
companies, National City Corp and Global Insight, says the number
of single-family homes that they judged overvalued in the United
States fell from 17 percent in the last quarter of 2006 to 14
percent in the quarter ended March 31. Of the 317 metro areas
covered by the survey, 157 of them experienced price declines
during the quarter. That - combined with wage gains and steady
interest rates - reduced widespread overvaluation of homes. The
report's authors determined proper home values based on population
density, relative income levels, interest rates and historically
observed market premiums or discounts. They compared them to actual
selling prices to arrive at overvaluations or undervaluations.
The latest price declines were mostly clustered in areas that
had seen big price run-ups during the boom, with California, Florida,
New York and Massachusetts taking hits. The report identified
Bend, Ore, as the most overvalued metro area in the nation. The
median single-family house price there is more than $324,000,
almost twice what it sold for four years earlier and 78.7 percent
over the survey's valuation price. Naples, Florida, which had
led the pack for several years, had price declines that enabled
it to slip into third place at 63.4 percent overvalued. In second
place was Prescott, Arizona, at 64.6 percent. The most undervalued
market, according to the survey, is Dallas, where homes sell for
24.9 percent below their proper price.
AMERICANS
ARE OPTIMISTIC ABOUT REAL ESTATE
A survey by Boston
Consulting Group showed that 55 percent of Americans believe that
their own home is worth more money today than it was a year ago,
according to Dow Jones in Realtor magazine. About 75 percent believe
that they could sell their homes within the next six months at
the price they set. And 63 percent continue to believe that real
estate is a good or excellent investment. Nearly 70 percent of
home owners say they are likely to make renovations in improvements
to their homes in the next year and nearly 67 percent said the
state of the current housing market has had no effect on their
spending. "Americans believe their homes are still their
best investment," says Michael J. Silverstein, a Boston Consulting
senior partner. "They're positive about their homes' value
and believe in a bounce-back in residential real estate overall.
Talk of declining average values of homes is not forcing a cutback
in spending. It's just not translated into the American psyche."
POPULATION
IS BOOMING IN SOME CITIES
The largest population
growth nationwide between 2005 and 2006 occurred in urban hubs
in the South and the West, according to the latest U.S. Census
Bureau figures, says Realtor magazine. New York continued to be
the nation’s biggest city, with 8.2 million residents. This
was more than twice the population of Los Angeles, which ranked
second at 3.8 million. Phoenix, with a population of 1.5 million,
edged out Philadelphia to become the nation’s fifth most-populous
city. Houston is fourth; Chicago is third.
Boldface
BUT
IN WHICH WATERS WILL HE SWIM NOW
Rupert Murdoch is
preparing to sell his waterfront home on Long Island's North Shore
for $14.8 million, the Wall Street Journal reports. The asking
price for the home on Centre Island would be nearly double what
the publishing executive and his wife Wendi paid four years ago.
The property's 4.6 acres include a pool with 950-square-foot guest
house, a tennis court, a beach cottage and a boat mooring. The
white wood-frame, Federal-style main house, known as Rosehearty,
measures about 10,000 square feet, overlooks Oyster Bay Harbor
and has 11 bedrooms, high ceilings, oak floors, an elevator and
a private generator. The couple - well, Wendi probably didn’t
pony up her half - paid $7.78 million for the estate in 2003.
They added an electronic gated entrance; other work included wrought-iron
fencing around the property and redecorating. Murdoch is currently
renovating a penthouse on Fifth Avenue. He paid $44 million for
that home in 2005, then the highest price ever for a New York
City residence.
GOOD
FOR GEIGER
Basketball star Matt
Geiger is selling his party house near St. Petersburg, Fla., because
he and his girlfriend are expecting their second child, reports
the St. Petersburg Times in Realtor magazine. The 28,000-square-foot
has the master bedroom and all the other bedrooms on different
floors. It also boasts 40 televisions, 18 of them wired with Xbox;
a putting green; a man-made lake stocked with 2,500 bass; and
a herd of livestock including 12 buffalo, 11 Watussi, two donkeys,
a miniature horse and one cow. The swimming pool holds 330,000
gallons of water and has a central lava pit. One of the hot tubs
has a built-in checkerboard. A checkerboard? There are several
lavish bars, a DJ station and dance floor, a pizza oven and a
cigar room. Plenty of partiers can be accommodated in the 5,200-square-foot
guest house. The house is listed at $19.9 million.
PICTURE
THIS
Fashion photographer
Mario Testino has signed a contract on a New York City condominium
for close to $6.3 million, the asking price, says the Wall Street
Journal. Testino's roughly 2,600-square-foot apartment is in 40
Bond, a soon-to-be completed downtown Manhattan project of hotelier
and developer Ian Schrager. Based in London and well-known for
portraits of celebrities such as Princess Diana and her sons,
the photographer will have as a neighbor Ricky Martin, who has
signed a contract to buy a similar, $6.3 million apartment in
the loft-style building. Both apartments will have three bedrooms,
three and a half baths, 10-foot tilt-and-turn windows and 11-foot
ceilings.
HERE’S
A PIECE OF PALM BEACH FOR A PITTANCE
The home of the late
sportscaster Curt Gowdy has sold in the city for $19.5 million,
reports the Wall Street Journal. The "voice" of the
Boston Red Sox first listed his lakefront home for $27 million
two years ago, but its price was cut to $25 million shortly before
his death last year. The final listing price was $22 million in
December. Gowdy, who died last year at age 86, and his wife Jerre
paid $1.7 million for the home in 1988, according to public records.
The buyer is Mitchell Morgan, 52, a real-estate investor based
in greater Philadelphia, and his wife Hilarie, a psychologist.
The Spanish Mediterranean-style home of 12,600 square feet was
built in about 1929 by Palm Beach architect John Volk for Edward
B. Adams, a senior partner in the E.F. Hutton brokerage firm,
and was once owned by a granddaughter of John D. Rockefeller.
The couple replaced the electric, plumbing and air-conditioning
systems, put in a new roof and gutted the kitchen. The property
includes a six-bedroom, five-and-a-half-bath main house, a two-bedroom
garage apartment, a staff apartment, a pool, terraces and a dock
for a boat as long as 40 feet.
This
and That
WALK THIS WAY
Bran Castle, one of
Romania's top tourist attractions and a must-see for fans of literature's
most famous vampire, is up for sale, says the Wall Street Journal.
Those willing to brave a price tag that could exceed $100 million
will get the keys to the castle that inspired settings in Bram
Stoker's "Dracula," said Michael Gardner, chairman of
Baytree Capital, the New York private-investment firm handling
the sale. The building in the Transylvanian region of Romania
has become known throughout the world as Dracula's Castle and
is currently being used as a museum, he said. But Archduke Dominic
Habsburg and family, the current owners of the property, aren't
looking for just any old investor to bite. The firm was brought
on to not only sell the place, but to develop a plan for it as
well, Gardner said. Gardner said the castle and the land around
it is ripe for the development of tourist amenities including
hotel accommodations and spas, all while "keeping the castle
as centerpiece of the resort area." Already, 450,000 people
visit the castle annually, he said. So don’t walk, run!
HOUSING
PRICES ARE HAMPERING RELOCATION EFFORTS
Of the North American
companies polled by Prudential Relocation in 2006, almost 47 percent
agreed that the present state of the job and housing markets was
getting in the way of their relocation efforts, according to Investor’s
Business Daily in Realtor magazine. Experts say more and more
workers do not want to sell their homes at a loss in order to
move for employment purposes. And while many companies offer relocation
assistance, a growing number are adding in restrictions as a way
of controlling costs. Some companies that agree to purchase a
relocating employee's home if it does not move off the market
fast enough have implemented new restrictions - such as preventing
workers from selling their properties for more than a certain
amount above the appraised value, forcing them to work with an
approved real estate agent and not proceeding with the buyout
until the home has been on the market for as many as 120 days.
DON’T
GO THERE
Moscow is the world’s
most expensive city for expatriates for the second consecutive
year, according to the latest Cost of Living Survey from Mercer
Human Resource Consulting. London is in second position, climbing
three places since last year. Seoul moves down one place in the
ranking to take third place, followed by Tokyo in fourth. Asuncion
in Paraguay is the least expensive city for the fifth year running.
Covering 143 cities across six continents and measuring the comparative
cost of more than 200 items in each location, including housing,
transport, food, clothing, household goods and entertainment,
the study found that Europe dominated the top 50; it had 30 cities
on the list and six of the top 10 spots. Strong currencies helped
push most European cities higher for 2007. Only two US cities
made the list (New York City at 15 and Los Angeles at 42) because
of the weak US dollar.
PUT IT THERE
In vacation spots
from Buzzards Bay in Massachusetts to Puget Sound in Washington,
home buyers are increasingly paying big premiums - sometimes as
much as twice the cost of comparable properties - for waterfront
homes that come with their own docks, the Wall Street Journal
observes. In parts of South Carolina's marshy Low Country, docks
are doubling property values, while in Puget Sound they're increasing
values by as much as $500,000. In the Northeast, the dock premium
has reached as high as $1 million on Long Island and $4 million
or more on Nantucket. In Laurel Harbor, N.Y., a two-acre parcel
with a 150-foot beach and a 75-foot dock was recently listed for
$1.4 million - even though local zoning rules prohibit the construction
of a house on the property. And in Cove Neck, N.Y., a buyer recently
paid $3.4 million for a waterfront home - and then promptly tore
it down. The value, the listing agent on the sale says, was in
the dock. It's nearly impossible to build a new dock in many parts
of the country because of environmental regulations, local ordinances
or, in some cases, outright bans on new construction. In the Long
Island village of Centre Island, which hasn't seen a new dock
built since the 1970s, pop star Billy Joel recently gave up his
five-year battle to build a dock after running up against federal
environmental laws.
PREDATORS ARE
IN HOT PURSUIT OF TROUBLED BORROWERS
With the housing market
in decline, the New York Times notes that financial predators
are finding yet another way to take advantage of people who fall
behind on their payments. Their schemes take various forms and
often involve promises to distressed homeowners of cash upfront,
free monthly rent and a chance to retain their houses in the long
run. But in the process, someone else takes over the deed, borrows
as much as possible against the value of the house and pockets
the cash. And, almost always, the homeowners still end up losing
their homes. There are no nationwide numbers on this common fraud,
known as equity stripping, but it has turned up in almost every
state. Seven states have passed laws to try to stop it. Still,
with foreclosure rates rising rapidly, it will be a growing problem,
consumer advocates say.
The
Market
PENDING
HOME SALES CONTINUE TO FALL
The forward-looking
Pending Home Sales Index dropped 3.5 points to 97.7 in May from
a downwardly revised April index of 101.2, according to the National
Association of Realtors (NAR). That number is 13.3 percent lower
than May 2006, when the reading was 112.7. In April, the index
was 10.4 points lower than a year earlier. Commented Lawrence
Yun, NAR senior economist: "Some transactions are being
postponed from mortgage market disruptions." Mortgage purchase
applications are trending up, with some of the rise due to buyers
reapplying for alternatives to subprime financing, Yun said, adding
that "home sales should stay close to present levels in
the months ahead given an accumulating pent-up demand."
SALES
OF PREVIOUSLY OWNED HOMES ARE AT A FOUR-YEAR LOW
Activity in the U.S.
eased slightly in May as potential buyers hold out until they
see more signs of stability in the housing market, according to
the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The median price slipped
and inventory rose as well. "I think psychological factors
are currently the biggest drag on the housing market, in addition
to a disruption from tighter credit for subprime borrowers,"
opined Lawrence Yu n,
NAR senior economist. Total existing-home sales - including single-family,
townhomes, condominiums and co-ops - dipped by 0.3 percent to
a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.99 million units from an
upwardly revised pace of 6.01 million in April. May’s sales
were 10.3 percent below the level a year earlier. Household formation
has slowed dramatically since late 2006, implying that many people
are adding roommates or moving in with parents, Yun added. The
national median existing-home price for all housing types was
$223,700 in May, a 2.1 percent drop from May 2006, when the median
was $228,500. With characteristic understatement, Yun said that
the market is "underperforming when you consider positive
fundamentals such as the strength in job creation, economic growth,
favorable mortgage interest rates and flat home prices."
Total housing inventory rose 5.0 percent at the end of May to
4.43 million existing homes available for sale, representing an
8.9-month supply at the current sales pace and up from an 8.4-month
supply in April.
SALES
OF NEW HOMES ARE DOWN ONCE AGAIN
They fell 1.6 percent
in May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 915,000 units,
according to figures released by the U.S. Commerce Department.
The pace was 15.8 percent below a year earlier. "The gradual
decline in new-home sales is still underway, and we expect this
trend to continue as the market approaches the bottom," said
Chief Economist David Seiders of the National Association of Home
Builders. "We expect home sales to stabilize before the end
of the year, followed by a systematic multi-year recovery beginning
in 2008." The inventory of new homes for sale edged down
1.1 percent to 536,000 units, equivalent to a 7.1 months' supply
and up slightly from 7.0 months in April. The median length of
time that completed homes were on the market was 5.7 months in
May, down from 5.9 months.
DECLINING
PRICES PERSIST IN THE U.S.
A home-price index
that tracks 20 U.S. metropolitan areas measured the 17th consecutive
period of annual decline in April, according to Standard &
Poor's/Case-Shiller 20-City Composite index, reports Inman News.
The monthly index has been in negative territory since January
2007 when compared with results in 2006. And the 10-city index
experienced an annual decline of 2.7 percent in April, the largest
decline since late 1991 for that index, according to the report.
Fourteen of 20 metro areas in the 20-city index had year-over-year
price declines in April, the report says. The most extreme price
index drops were in Detroit, down 9.3 percent; following, in order,
were San Diego, down 6.7 percent; and Washington, D.C., down 5.7
percent. The metro areas with the largest year-over-year price
increases in April were Seattle, at 9.6 percent; Charlotte, N.C.,
7 percent; and Portland, Ore., 6.4 percent.
HOUSING
STARTS FALL, BUT BUILDING PERMITS RISE
Housing starts fell
2.1 percent in May as the correction in the housing market persisted.
Starts were down 24.2 percent from a year earlier. But Bloomberg
News and the Wall Street Journal found good news in a 3 percent
rise in building permits, an indication that things could be better
down the road. "Home sales most likely will erode somewhat
further in the months ahead, and improvements in housing starts
probably will not be recorded until early next year," commented
David Seiders, chief economist of the National Association of
Home Builders (NAHB). "The downswing in new housing production
is still underway, although the rate of decline has slowed since
late last year. We still expect starts and permits to bottom out
late this year before a systematic recovery process begins in
2008." Robert Mellman, an economist at JPMorgan Chase added
that there will be "continuing declines" in home building
through the second of this year. "If rates hadn't gone up,
we would have expected it would have stabilized. We've put off
the stabilization in housing until early next year," said
he. Total building permits increased 3.0 percent in May to a seasonally
adjusted annual pace of 1.501 million units, reflecting a spike
in multifamily permits. Total permits were down 21.7 percent from
a year earlier.
IF
YOU LIVED THERE, YOU’D BE BORED BY NOW
The metropolitan areas
encompassing Indianapolis-Carmel, Ind. and Youngstown-Warren-Boardman,
Ohio-Pa. tied for the title of most affordable major U.S. housing
market in this year's first quarter, according to the National
Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index
(HOI. Lower home prices and mortgage interest rates helped boost
housing affordability across the nation in the first three months
of this year, though obviously not everywhere. The latest HOI
shows that about 44 percent of new and existing homes that were
sold in the United States during this year's first quarter were
affordable to families earning the national median income, up
from 41.6 percent of homes sold in the final quarter of 2006.
The median sales price of all Indianapolis homes sold in the first
quarter was $116,000, and the median sales price of all Youngstown-area
homes sold was just $78,000. Once again at the bottom of the affordability
scale was Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, Calif., where just
3 percent of homes sold in the first quarter were affordable to
families earning the metro's median household income of $61,700.
The median price of all homes sold in that area was $525,000.
As the third least affordable major metro, New-York-White Plains-Wayne,
N.Y.-N.J. was the only non-California location within the bottom
five.
The
Soothsayers
A UCLA FORECAST SEES ANOTHER BUMP
IN THE MARKET
The UCLA Anderson
Forecast noted that "the credit crunch in the subprime mortgage
market will likely trigger a second leg down in the housing market
in terms of output and prices." In his national report,
UCLA Anderson Forecast Senior Economist David Shulman writes:
"We previously had thought that housing starts would bottom
in the 1.4-1.5 million range; we now think the bottom could be
around 1.2-1.3 million units with the risks still on the down
side. Moreover, the recent weakness we have experienced in home
prices will likely tend to accelerate with the nationwide peak
to trough declines ranging from 5-10 percent."
The
Mortgage Biz
RATES
SLIP A BIT
The 30-year fixed-rate
mortgage (FRM) averaged 6.63 percent for the week ended July 3,
down from last week’s 6.67 percent. Last year at this time,
the 30-year FRM averaged 6.79 percent, according to Freddie Mac.
The 15-year FRM was 6.30 percent, down from 6.34 percent the week
before. A year ago, it averaged 6.44 percent. Five-year Treasury-indexed
hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) averaged 6.29 percent
this week in comparison with 6.30 percent the prior week and 6.39
percent a year earlier. One-year Treasury-indexed ARMs were 5.71
percent, up from last week, when it averaged 5.65 percent. At
this time last year, the one-year ARM was 5.83 percent. "Long-term
mortgage rates continued to move lower for a third consecutive
week, in part reflecting a moderation in core inflation,"
said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist.
THE
DEFAULT RATE FOR CREDIT-RISKY BORROWERS IS HIGH
So-called Alt-A mortgage
loans made in 2006 are going bad at more than four times the rate
as similar loans made in 2004, said analysts at Standard &
Poor's. Alt-A loans are offered to home buyers who don't have
perfect credit but who are considered less of a risk than subprime
borrowers. After 14 months of seasoning, 4.21 percent of Alt-A
loans securitized and sold on Wall Street in 2006 are 90 days
or more delinquent, or have been foreclosed. That statistic compares
with 1.59 percent for 2005 vintage Alt-A loans and .91 percent
for the 2004 vintage with the same amount of seasoning, Standard
& Poor's said. Standard & Poor's attributed the higher
rate of serious delinquencies in the 2006 vintage to a greater
proportion of loans made to borrowers with limited income documentation
and little equity in their homes. "The most disconcerting
trend is how quickly the performance of these delinquent borrowers
has deteriorated," Standard & Poor's analysts said. "We
continue to see migration from 60-plus-day to 90-plus-day delinquencies
within the 2006 vintage, suggesting that homeowners who experience
early delinquencies are finding it increasingly difficult to refinance
or work out problems."
SENATE
SUBCOMMITTEE GETS AN EARFUL ON APPRAISALS
Unscrupulous lenders
and mortgage brokers have "a totally free shot" at
appraisals because they are able to coerce appraisers in an "unregulated
wilderness" where rules don't exist or aren't consistently
enforced, a spokesman for appraisers told lawmakers, according
to Inman News. Alan E. Hummel, chairman of the Appraisal Institute's
government relations committee, told members of a Senate subcommittee
that such coercion, whether it's subtle or blatant, can have devastating
impacts. "People have lost their homes to foreclosure; entire
segments of the mortgage market have collapsed; and mortgage fraud
has surged," Hummel told the Subcommittee on Housing, Transportation
and Community Development. "Neighborhoods throughout the
country have been devastated by mortgage lending abuse."
Sometimes, appraisers are told to doctor their reports or lose
out on future assignments, Hummel said. Or they will be told to
overlook material issues or conditions that would prevent an appraisal
from hitting a predetermined number, "or else."
HOME
EQUITY LOAN DELINQUENCES EDGE UP
Credit card loan delinquencies
declined the first quarter of 2007, according to the American
Bankers Association's Consumer Credit Delinquency Bulletin. But
home equity loan delinquencies increased to 2.15 percent from
1.92 percent. Late payments on credit cards were 4.41 percent
of all accounts in the first quarter compared with 4.56 percent
in the fourth quarter of 2006 (seasonally adjusted).
LOAN
ACTIVITY IS STEADY
Mortgage loan application
volume inched up just 0.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis
for the week ended June 28 from one week earlier, reports the
Mortgage Bankers Association. On an unadjusted basis, volume declined
0.1 percent but was up 9.7 percent compared with the same week
one year earlier. Refinancings went down 2.6 percent from the
previous week, and purchase applications dipped 2.0 percent seasonally
adjusted. The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to
37.8 percent of total applications from 38.7 percent the previous
week, and the adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share grew to 21.0
percent from 20.4 percent.
THE
FEDS TIGHTEN SUBPRIME GUIDELINES, CLOSING BARN DOOR
Federal bank, thrift
and credit-union regulators issued beefed-up guidelines aimed
at curbing weak underwriting standards for "subprime"
mortgage loans, says the Wall Street Journal. The guidelines require
more than 8,000 federally regulated lenders to underwrite loans
based on a borrower's ability to make payments on a loan's adjusted
rate, not just its low introductory rate. Roughly 75 percent of
the subprime adjustable-rate mortgages offered last year were
loans with a low flat or "teaser" rate for the first
two or three years and then a higher, floating rate for the life
of the 30-year mortgage. With limited exceptions, the guidelines
expect lenders to collect much more information to prove that
borrowers have the capacity to pay. In addition, lenders are directed
to give borrowers the option to refinance out of an adjustable-rate
mortgage at least 60 days before the interest rate jumps to a
higher level, without penalty.
ARE
MORTGAGE BROKERS THE KEY TO SUBPRIME MESS
Mortgage brokers are
involved in about 58 percent of home loans, up from 40 percent
a decade ago, according to Wholesale Access, a research firm in
Columbia, Md., observes the Wall Street Journal. They originate
about half of loans made to borrowers with good credit. Their
presence is even greater in other segments of the mortgage market
where defaults are rising. Brokers originate about three-quarters
of subprime mortgages made to borrowers with scuffed credit, according
to Wholesale Access. They also originate 70 percent of so-called
Alt-A mortgages, a gray area that falls between prime and subprime.
Mortgage brokers didn't set the standards for the many aggressive
loans that are now going sour. But they provided the low-cost
sales force that made it possible for lenders to quickly ramp
up production without hiring employees. As business surged, some
brokers put borrowers into loans they didn't understand, couldn't
afford or were otherwise ill-suited for, one reason defaults have
skyrocketed. In the worst cases, brokers have been known to falsify
information and resort to other fraudulent means to get mortgage
loans approved. Critics say regulators and lenders haven't done
nearly enough to insure the quality and integrity of this independent
sales force. "The mortgage brokers are the wild, wild West
of mortgage finance," Sen. Charles Schumer, a New York Democrat,
told the Journal. "We need to bring a sheriff to town."
The
Big Apple
SALES ARE SIZZLING
The Manhattan residential
real estate market continues to be characterized by falling inventory,
rising prices and a record number of sales in contrast to the
national housing market. According to the Miller Samuel appraisal
firm, the number of sales increased 104 percent in the second
quarter, to 3,939 units as compared with the 1,934 units sold
in the same quarter last year. Listing inventory
dropped 31.5 percent
to 5,237 units from the prior year quarter total of 7,640 units;
the second quarter of 2006 had registered the highest level in
more than 10 years. Days on market were 117, four weeks shorter
than the same period last year. The listing discount was 2.2 percent,
down from 3.5 percent during the same period last year. Prices
were generally up, with the greatest price gains seen in larger
apartments - namely three- and four-bedroom units; they gained
17.6 percent and 36.2 percent respectively over the same period
last year. The median sales price increased 1.7 percent to a record
$895,000 over the prior year quarter result of $880,000 (7.2 percent
above the prior quarter result of $835,000). The average price
per square foot increased 5.2 percent to a record $1,139 over
the prior year quarter result of $1,083 (6.4 percent above the
prior quarter result of $1,070). As for the average sales price,
it decreased 3.8 percent to $1,333,316 over the prior year quarter
record result of $1,386,193 (3.3 percent above the prior quarter
result of $1,290,391).
STABILIZED
RENTS ALLOWED TO RISE, BUT LESS THAN IN 2006
Rents
for the one million rent-stabilized apartments in New York City
can go up by as much as 5.75 percent over the next two years,
the city’s Rent Guidelines Board voted, according to the
New York Times. The board voted 5 to 4 to allow increases of 5.75
percent on two-year leases and 3 percent on one-year leases. The
rent board did not make a separate adjustment for tenants who
pay their own heating bills, as they had the previous four years.
The increases, which are smaller than those approved last year,
are for leases renewed between Oct. 1, 2007, and Sept. 30, 2008.
THE
CODE IS CHANGED TO MAKE FOR SAFER BUILDINGS
The City
Council approved the first major overhaul of the city’s
building code since 1968, greatly expanding fire safety requirements,
encouraging environmentally sound construction and simplifying
operations at the Department of Buildings. The updated code, which
is to be reviewed for possible revision every three years, adds
sprinkler requirements for smaller buildings, raises standards
for smoke detectors, strengthens safety regulations for high-rise
residential buildings and provides for rebates on permit fees
if buildings meet higher environmental design standards and undertake
more environmentally friendly practices.
Out and
About
Plus
ça change
When the loft living
had its beginning in olden times, the 1970s, the units tended
to be crude, grim and grungy. It was artists, after all, who popularized
them as residences; their appeal was their cost and the appropriateness
of the space for work studios. That made sense, so those artists
were at the cusp of gentrification wherever they began renting,
then buying their lofts, originally in SoHo.
The lofts were notable
for their creaky floors, undivided "rooms" (sometimes
even the bathrooms), antediluvian kitchens (not infrequently mere
hotplates), encrusted walls and ceilings (not necessarily tin),
Alpine staircases, drafty windows and rasping freight elevators
(if they existed at all). No one would call those living quarters
homey or their neighborhoods of warehouses and light industry
anything but intimidating or unwelcoming to the general public.
Vestiges of the period remain throughout the city, but unimproved
lofts have become a scarce commodity.
How times have changed!
The years have been kind to lofts: Many have been renovated and
thus transformed into dwellings equal in luxury and finishes to
their uptown counterparts. It is hardly a revelation that their
popularity has so grown that numerous new buildings have been
designed to contain only lofts; their style has become virtually
an industry standard - open kitchens glossy with stainless
steel, stone countertops and professional equipment; vast living
areas that segue seamlessly from one to the other; high ceilings,
often with exposed ducts; and oversize windows.
Although many lofts
in converted buildings retain the disadvantages of limited views
and light entering only from front and back, even many of those
units manage to minimize those drawbacks. The tradeoff of sunshine
for floor space can be well worth the exchange, and prices usually
reflect any deficits.
As for their neighborhoods,
onetime backwaters have become beacons of upscale boutiques, specialty
stores and destination restaurants. Some even have newer parkland,
notably that on the Hudson River at the edge of TriBeCa. Many
are within walking distance to the increasingly heated financial
district.
More so perhaps than
any other category of Manhattan housing, prices for lofts have
gone through the roof. (Sorry, couldn’t resist the pun:
no editor.) The median sale price in the second quarter was $3.6
million, hundreds of thousands of dollars higher than comparable
figures for co-ops and condos, according to the Miller Samuel
appraisal firm. High though they may be, such prices derive from
the market in general and from the quality of the units, some
of which are notable.
Consider the light-filled
3,570-sf corner loft that is convenient to a Tribeca subway stop
as well as eateries such as David Bouley Café. On only
the third floor of an old building, this eye-stopping condo has
been elegantly renovated to make the most of expansive living
and dining areas, a wood-burning fireplace, 10.5-foot exposed
brick and wooden beamed ceilings, rough-hewn cedar pillars and
wide-plank maple floors. The master suite has a very large walk-in
closet (currently filled with clothing that is almost entirely
black) and a bath with steam shower, soaking tub, double sinks
and walls of travertine marble. As for its perfectly placed half-open
kitchen, there is a six-burner Viking stove with a hood vented
outside, SubZero refrigerator, Miele dishwasher, beautiful custom
cabinets and countertops of cream-colored marble. In all, there
are three bedrooms, two and a half baths, a laundry closet, 120
feet of secure extra basement storage, and a surfeit of style.
For this property, the price of $4.9 million with $1,370 in common
charges is well within reason.
Other
TriBeCa lofts listed by various brokers and seen recently:
- Close to the Holland
Tunnel, two lofts that can be joined in a building with 24-hour
doorman, roof deck, gym and basement storage lockers. The nicer
one is configured with entrance into a sprawling kitchen/dining/living
area with two bedrooms and two baths at either end of this condo,
which is shaped almost like a boomerang. There is plenty of
sunshine in the apartment, but there is little else to distinguish
the place. It is listed at $2.5 million with $1,303 in monthly
common charges. The square unit next door is currently used
as a composer’s studio. Suffice it to say that it needs
to be re-thought and renovated. At $1.6 million with $1,368
in common charges, this loft is probably more valuable to the
purchaser of the adjoining one than to anyone else.
- One
in $5 million. The home of an architect who
knew what he or she was doing in designing a thoughtful renovation
that seemingly left no detail unexamined. Including distinct
public and private areas, this loft features keyed elevator
entrance into an appealing dining, kitchen and living area.
The sleek Schiffini kitchen itself boasts a multitude of walnut
and stainless cabinets, an extraordinary one-piece countertop
and sink of white manufactured stone, and programmable double
ovens. Its 1,950 square feet also encompass terrific storage,
a spacious master suite with a bath that has a steam shower,
anti-fog mirrors, heated floors, whirlpool tub and invisible
speakers; a second bedroom; and a den/office without windows.
Doors are extra-thick, the Maytag washer and dryer are oversize,
there is a second high-style bath, and sound and lighting are
controlled by a Crestron system. Additionally, the purchase
includes a one-seventh interest in another unit in the building
now owned by the co-operative. Views are forgettable, but, at
$2.8 million with $1,784 monthly maintenance, this loft in desirable
indeed.
- With oversize windows
giving on nothing you would want to see and preserved Corinthian
columns, a 1,984-sf loft in an 1861 cast-iron building has some
nice touches but not quite enough to warrant the price. The
11-foot ceilings, two glass-tiled baths and wood-burning fireplace
are some of the nice touches. But the rest of the condo, now
configured with three bedrooms, is pretty underwhelming. Its
asking price of $2.395 million with $913 in monthly common charges
is almost right, having been reduced from $2.5 million.
Upper
West Side
Some
of the listings by various brokers seen since the last newsletter:
- Making the best
of a bad thing, a recently renovated one-bedroom pre-war co-op
half a block from Central Park. The modern kitchen open to the
marble-tiled foyer is on the small side, the powder room is
directly off the living/dining room, and the bedroom seems somehow
out of place. Although everything appears to have been moved
around as intelligently as possible, the reality of risers and
load-bearing walls has made this nice-looking apartment of 900-1,000
square feet only better than it was, considerably so, yet optimistically
priced at $895,000 with $1,769 in monthly maintenance, including
utilities.
- An exceptional two-bedroom,
two-bath duplex in a very well located full-service 1926 building
that underwent an award-winning renovation in 1980 and reeks
of character such as elaborate terra cotta decoration. The 1,900-sf
condo has much to commend itself: ceilings as high as 17 feet,
hardwood floors of Brazilian eucalyptus, impressive finishes
and design, copious closet space, excellent open kitchen and
gorgeous baths. Its issues are the layout, but they can be overcome
by turning a large room off the living/dining area into a master
bedroom and using the smallish upstairs rooms for bedrooms for
guests or children and a third, windowless room perhaps as an
office or den. A spiral staircase that seems like an afterthought
could be eliminated. The price of $1.995 million with $1,781
in monthly common charges represents very good value.
- From
the ridiculous to the sublime. A nondescript
one-bedroom co-op in a pre-war building without a doorman. This
unit with at least 700 and, remotely possible, up to 800 square
feet does have the requisite high ceilings, the floors have
been refinished, another layer of paint has been added to the
aged layers that came before, and the kitchen and one and a
half baths have been modestly updated. Reduced after only a
week from a ridiculous $945,000 to a sublime $849,000, with
maintenance of $1009 monthly, this apartment will be available
for a long, long time.
- In a post-war building
with glossy pretensions, doorman, health club and permission
to have pets, a modest studio that has as its chief assets a
marble-tiled bath and a terrace facing north over a two-way
street from the 14th floor. This condo also has a tiny kitchen
much in need of renovation. The price of $610,000 with $481
in common charges is ambitious to the extreme.
NoHo
A
sampling of listings by various brokers seen since the last newsletter:
- A
funhouse that doesn’t amuse. A
bizarre and outdated 4,000-sf loft, including a 176-sf basement
storage room that boasts not one bedroom with four walls. There’s
plenty of open space, much of it on a generally exposed second
level with seven-foot ceilings. And there are essentially two
apartments front to back since there are two modest kitchens
on the main floor. This puzzling co-op has myriad staircases
and surprising doors, making for a layout that is hard to understand,
with windows at the front looking west toward Washington Square
Park and windows admitting little light way in the back. Price:
$5 million with monthly maintenance of $2,656.
- A one-bedroom (one!)
1843 former stable that sounds better than it must live. For
one thing, the "mews" is a dark alley of commercial
back doors, except for the 14-foot wooden ones that open into
this admittedly dramatic loft filled with character. The main
floor has on that level a single window at one end, in a nice
kitchen that is open to the rest of the living area, which features
a wood-burning fireplace. Up a lovely spiral staircase, is a
loft area used for a home office and a small enclosed bedroom;
the remaining windows start at that height. There are two merely
decent baths in this co-op, which is listed at $3.35 million
with $1,852 monthly. The broker/owner thinks the price is enticing.
The neighborhood may be hot, but . . . go figure.
- A penthouse that
has 5,000 square feet inside and 1,300 square feet of roof space
- not one of those feet really finished. The views from the
interior are open and especially winning to the west, but other
structures block views of any of the city’s notable buildings
such as the Empire State or Chrysler. The new owner will want
to take advantage of the possibility of raising the co-op’s
ceilings even higher and moving the exposed pipes upward. But
that owner should think of this $7.5 million property more in
terms of around $10-11 million with necessary improvements.
Monthly maintenance: $4,325.
And
these from around town:
- In Greenwich Village
close to Hudson Street, an expansive two-bedroom sponsor-owned
co-op with lots of sunlight, closets and opportunity to improve
the now-empty kitchen and two baths. This unit, mostly renovated
- including fresh paint, refinished floors and new quiet windows
- contains nearly 1,300 square, with a 28-foot-long living room
in a full-service pet-friendly post-war building that features
a planted roof deck, garage and central laundry room in a prime
location. At $1.495 million with a $1,452 in monthly maintenance
(plus a $447 special assessment per month through April), the
apartment has an asking price that is high for the building
but not too high for the market.
- Grandiose
dreams in Gramercy.
In the Gramercy Park area, a triplex so filled with furniture
that it’s hard to see the "bones." This place
has an outdated claustrophobic interior kitchen plus living
area and powder room on the middle floor. Downstairs are two
bedrooms, decent closet space and an unimpressive full bath.
Upstairs are a loft and 400-sf terrace, which explains the asking
price of $1.7 million with $1.224 in monthly maintenance in
a renovated 15-unit townhouse that bars pets. Facing south,
the co-op was listed originally for $2.4 million and still is
too high.
- A 575-sf one-bedroom
apartment way west on a cobblestone street in Greenwich Village.
Although this third-floor co-op has some pluses such as wood-burning
fireplace, views overlooking brownstone gardens and a new kitchen,
it has - to put it nicely - "issues."
For one thing, there is no doorman. For another, that decidedly
open kitchen is about five-feet long in one corner of the apartment,
with its refrigerator tucked into another corner on the other
side of the entrance. And finally, there is room for little
more than a bed in the room designated for sleeping. The pre-war
unit smaller than some studios is offered at the high price
of $549,000 with monthly maintenance of $492.
Manhattan Market
Update
Sales
Surge as Inventory Shrinks
The number of sales
increased 104 percent in the second quarter as compared the same
quarter last year, according to the Miller Samuel appraisal firm.
Listing inventory dropped 31.5 percent from the prior year quarter
total. Prices were generally up, with the greatest price gains
seen in larger apartments. The median sales price increased 1.7
percent to a record $895,000 over the prior year quarter result
of $880,000 (7.2 percent above prior quarter result of $835,000).
Co-ops
The median sales price of a co-op was $695,000, down 3.7 percent
from the prior year quarter but up 3 percent from the prior quarter.
Average price per square foot and average sales price showed similar
patterns. Inventory levels for co-ops fell 39.6 percent to 2,481
units as compared with the prior year quarter total of 4,105 units.
Dottie Herman, president of Prudential Douglas Elliman, said co-op
boards may be forced to change their rules. "I’ve
brought buyers that have tons of money, that have tons of assets,
and still the co-op boards turn them down for no reason at all,"
she declared. "I do think that you’re going to see
co-ops ease up in some cases. The prices have gone up so much
that some of the rules don’t work today."
Condos
The median sales price
of a condo this quarter was $1,040,000, up 5.1 percent from last
year at this time and up 5 percent from the prior quarter. Average
price per square foot and average sales price showed similar patterns.
Inventory levels for condos totaled 2,756 units, down 22 percent
from the prior year quarter total of 3,535 units. New development
is estimated to be 34.9 percent of condo inventory this quarter.
Luxury
Properties
(upper 10 percent of all co-op and condo sales)
The median sales price
of a luxury apartment this quarter was $3,600,000 this quarter,
down 10 percent from the record $4,000,000 median sales price
set in the prior year quarter last year at this time but up 5.1
percent from the prior quarter. Average price per square foot
and median sales price also showed declines from the prior year
quarter. However, since this segment of the market is defined
as a percentage of the total market, the declines reflected a
wider range of included sales because of the surge in the overall
number of sales. The three- and four-bedroom markets are more
reflective of the high end market this quarter.
Lofts
(co-op and condo sales)
The median sales price
of a loft apartment this quarter was a record $1,650,000, up 10
percent from last year at this time and up 1.2 percent from the
prior quarter. Average price per square foot and average sales
price showed 6.5 percent and 10 percent gains respectively from
the prior year quarter.
New
Listings
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of Manhattan's Latest Listings
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