|
Pass
it on! If you enjoy this newsletter, chances are your friends, colleagues
and family will IN THIS ISSUE:
Items of Interest Home and Hearth COMPANIES
WANT TO KNOW HOW YOU'RE FEELING:
With competition heating up in the growing home storage and organization
business, some retailers are adopting therapy-speak when hawking file
cabinets and shoe racks, observes the Wall Street Journal. Much like professional
organizers, retailers are training their staff to offer more advice and
make emotional connections as they help customers buy shelves or sort
sweaters. And some companies are increasingly marketing products from
file folders to closets as items that can improve everything from your
exercise habits to your relationships. The companies are pitching a whole-life
upgrade, not just a tidy bedroom. For example, California Closets' Web
site promises to bring "a sense of harmony and order" to customers'
lives. The founders of Buttoned Up, a company that sells items such as
binders to help people organize their important papers, combines pitches
with advice on how to "spark romance" by making regularly scheduled
dates with your partner. (Those dates are easier to schedule if you're
organized, they point out.) The demand for professional organizers also
is booming. The National Association of Professional Organizers has grown
to 4,000 members from 2,000 since 2003, says President Barry Izsak. Anxious?
Depressed? Yes, such advertising can have that effect. The Mortgage Biz RATES CONTINUE THEIR UPWARD MARCH: The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 6.22 percent for the week, up from last week's 6.17 percent yet down from last year's 6.49 percent, reports Freddie Mac. The 15-year FRM this week was 5.90 percent, up from 5.87 percent. A year ago, it was 6.14 percent. Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) averaged 5.93 percent this week, up slightly from 5.92 percent the week before and lower than the 6.13 percent a year ago. One-year Treasury-indexed ARMs were 5.47 percent this week, up from 5.44 percent. At this time last year, it averaged 5.61 percent. "Interest rates in general ticked up following the release of the March employment data, which showed stronger job growth than what the market expected," said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac chief economist. "Mortgage refinancing still remains strong. . . In the fourth quarter of 2006, 84 percent of borrowers who refinanced their prime conventional loans increased their loan balance by more than 5 percent, totaling more than $70 billion in equity extracted. We expect a similar numbers for the first quarter of this year." WALL STREET IS GETTING STRICTER WITH LENDERS: By extending generous credit to subprime lenders, Wall Street firms financed the borrowing binge that helped fuel the housing boom, according to the Wall Street Journal. Those firms now are turning off the money spigot. They see more borrowers having trouble paying off those mortgages in a slowing economy, which has made investors less willing to pour money into the sector. More than two dozen subprime mortgage lenders have closed shop, and there is concern that the defaults could spread to other types of risky loans and to less-risky mortgages, exacerbating the housing market's slowdown and possibly weighing on the economy. Accredited Home Lenders Holding, a subprime lender, recently was forced to sell $2.7 billion of loans at a big discount to meet lenders' demands for more collateral. Subprime lenders sell many of their loans to Wall Street banks, which package them into securities to be sold to bond investors. The appetite for these bonds grew when interest rates were falling and investors wanted high-yield alternatives. The riskier the customer, the higher the interest rate; so subprime bonds were in demand. Though banks make money lending to subprime companies, packaging the bonds produces hefty fees – an estimated $2.3 billion last year, up from about $500 million five years ago, according to Thomson Financial data. Fees for other services added to the windfall. Shed tears only of the crocodile variety. DEMAND TAPERS OFF: For the week ended April 6, mortgage loan application volume slipped by 0.4 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. On an unadjusted basis, the decrease was 0.1 percent compared with the previous week. It rose 10.8 percent compared with the same week one year earlier. Refinancings went down 4 percent from the previous week and, seasonally adjusted, purchases went up 2.7 percent. The refinance share of mortgage activity declined to 42.8 percent of total applications from 44.5 percent the previous week, and the adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share fell to 18.7 from 19.2 percent. LENDERS ARE TIGHTENING STANDARDS ACROSS THE BOARD: "Lenders are going to scrutinize borrowers more carefully" in the next six to nine months, predicts Doug Duncan, the chief economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association, says the New York Times. "The pendulum is probably going to swing too far in the other direction before it settles." That means more New Yorkers are already having to provide more documents to get approvals for all types of mortgages. For example, some brokers who used to get loans approved by lenders without proof of assets from divorces now require the actual decrees. Other mortgage lenders are requiring W-2 forms or pay stubs that they didn't ask for before. In many cases, economists say, borrowers are going to be treated like subprime and Alt-A borrowers for what would seem to be fairly common mistakes such as not paying a few bills on time or carrying a lot of debt. "One of the myths is that subprime is a province of the poor," Duncan added. "Subprime is a province of people who don't manage credit well," regardless of their incomes. SECOND MORTGAGES SPELL TROUBLE FOR BORROWERS: Having a second mortgage puts home owners at a greater risk of foreclosure, but that doesn't stop banks from giving them to borrowers, reports Business Week in Realtor magazine. A 2006 study by Standard & Poor's, which analyzed 640,000 mortgages with second liens, found that these borrowers are 43 percent more likely to go into default than those who have similar loans but no second mortgage. First American LoanPerformance, a mortgage data and risk firm, analyzed a sampling of loans banks had granted in the fourth quarter of last year. The firm found that within months of getting an original mortgage, more than 50,000 of 169,000 borrowers had applied for more money or tapped a home equity line of credit, pushing their loan-to-value ratio to 95 percent or greater. Big financial institutions are in the dark about borrowers who have come back to them for another loan, says Max Doubek, director of analytics at First American, because home equity lines of credit and first mortgages are often granted by separate departments that don't communicate with each other. "They might as well be different companies." JUMBO-LOAN DELINQUENCIES POST 18 PERCENT JUMP: Moody's Investors Service reports that 0.35 percent of jumbo mortgages packaged into securities were delinquent in January, rising 18 percent from the same month in 2006, according to American Banker in Realtor magazine. The 30- to 59-day delinquency rate slipped to 0.55 percent from 0.62 percent in the fourth quarter. Year-over-year, jumbo-loan foreclosure and real-estate-owned rates are "still low in relative terms," avers Moody's analyst Peter McNally. HEY BROTHER, CAN YOU SPARE A LINE (OF CREDIT): When your credit scores don't qualify you for the home mortgage you want, where do you turn? asks Kenneth R. Harney in the Washington Post. He reports that federal and state authorities fear that some borrowers are turning to a fast-growing business on the Internet: companies that claim to boost credit scores by transplanting the credit DNA of people with excellent payment histories into the credit files of people with sub-par histories, ostensibly without breaking any law. The companies claim to raise FICO credit scores by 50 to 250 points, or more, by adding low-scoring borrowers as "authorized users" onto the credit card accounts of people with FICO scores higher than 700. The positive payment information from such cardholders then flows into the files of the people with sub-par credit. Federal law permits authorized users to be added to credit card accounts. Typically, the users are relatives or friends of the primary cardholder. For example, a parent might add a son or daughter to a Visa card to provide access to credit for the child or for use in emergencies. Federal law does not limit the number or dictate the type of authorized users permitted on any single account. Nor does it prohibit the rental or sale of authorized-user designations. Exploiting that loophole, numerous companies have popped up on the Internet offering to buy and rent out the credit card "trade lines," or accounts, of credit card holders with high limits and perfect payment histories. UNEMPLOYMENT SEEMS TO DRIVE FORECLOSURES: With 22 percent of California's total mortgages considered "risky," the state leads the nation in terms of lending to borrowers with flawed credit, reports Investor's Business Daily in Realtor magazine. Even so, California's foreclosure rate for the fourth quarter of 2006 came in at just 0.43 percent. On the other hand, Midwestern states such as Indiana, Michigan and Ohio all crossed the 1 percent threshold. Economists attribute the Golden State's resilience to a robust economy that continues to create jobs, allowing residents to remain in their homes, supporting housing prices and permitting home owners to use equity to refinance out of adjustable loan terms and into fixed loans. But Michigan, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio and other Midwestern states have been battered by the one-two punch of declining residential values and the loss of tens of thousands of manufacturing jobs following cutbacks at auto companies. "High foreclosures are historically linked to employment issues and regional and state economic conditions," says a Mortgage Bankers Association spokesperson. RED TAPE IS FOILING BORROWERS' IN TROUBLE: The sharp rise in delinquencies in recent months is straining mortgage companies' ability to respond quickly to borrowers with such solutions as new repayment plans or modifications to loan agreements, according to the Wall Street Journal. Borrowers often must make many calls before finding someone in a position to help them, by which point their problems may have worsened. The process can be particularly complicated when mortgages have been packaged into securities and sold to investors, thereby limiting the mortgage company's flexibility in working out a solution. And for some borrowers, there may not be a good solution, apart from the sale of their home or foreclosure. "If you're a borrower trying to deal with [a mortgage company] . . . or even a private attorney, you're likely to run into brick walls," says Iowa Assistant Attorney General Patrick Madigan, whose job includes working on behalf of Iowa homeowners. AND BANKRUPTCY OFTEN ISN'T THE ANSWER: According to a study released by Credit Suisse Group, more subprime borrowers are turning to bankruptcy court to stave off foreclosure, as softening housing prices make it harder for them to sell their homes to repay debts, says the Wall Street Journal. At the same time, the study shows, the number of borrowers who are actually able to bring current their mortgage payments through bankruptcy is declining, and more filers are ultimately turning their homes over to the lenders. The finding means investors in high-yielding mortgage-backed securities should expect higher losses on the underlying collateral. At least part of the blame, says the report, lies with a bankruptcy law passed in 2005. The law raised the bar for people to qualify for Chapter 7 "fresh start" bankruptcy proceedings. Chapter 7 can enable individual filers to wipe away debts such as credit-card and medical bills so they can continue to make their mortgage payments. With access limited, more subprime borrowers are forced into Chapter 13, where some can't maintain their payment schedules for more than a couple of months. This Is Getting Old NEW RETIREMENT COMMUNITIES ARE AROUND THE CORNER: Most continuing-care retirement community - a type of senior housing that offers residents access to independent living, assisted living and skilled nursing care in the same complex of several buildings - have been found in suburban or rural settings, says the New York Times. Their number increased to 2,240 in 2005 from 274 in the early 1980s, according to the American Association of Homes and Services for the Aging. But now, approximately 15 continuing-care communities are planned or under construction in city neighborhoods, said Kathryn L. Brod, a former director of continuing care for the association and now a senior vice president for Zeigler, a senior living finance company. "There is increased interest in doing C.C.R.C.'s in urban environments," she said. There are only about 30 urban continuing-care retirement communities, many built in the 1980s, according to Joan Annett, who handles senior living financing for the Cain Brothers, an investment banking firm. There are communities in San Francisco and Philadelphia, and one in Boston. The first one in New York City - the 10-story Skyline Commons in Jamaica, Queens - is scheduled to open in 2008. Featuring hotel-style amenities and services, the new metropolitan retirement communities have expensive entry fee and monthly maintenance charges and are a response to an expanding market of affluent and active retirees. AND AROUND THE WORLD: More people are retiring to Southeast Asia, drawn by word of mouth, incentives from regional governments vying for retirement nest eggs, and affordable living, including housing and relatively inexpensive medical care, says the Wall Street Journal. "Retirees everywhere are taking a very close look at the relative quality and cost of living in deciding where to spend their retirement years," says Su-yen Wong, a managing director for Mercer Human Resource Consulting in Singapore. "Much of the Southeast Asian region scores particularly favorably in the analysis." According to Mercer's 2006 cost-of-living study, Kuala Lumpur ranked 114th out of 144 cities, while Bangkok was 127th and Manila came in at number 141. By comparison, Seoul, Tokyo and Hong Kong ranked as the second, third, and fourth costliest places (behind Moscow), while London and New York were in the top 10. Sydney was the 19th most expensive city, Madrid ranked 53rd and Monterrey in Mexico was 103. While the overall number of overseas retirees in Southeast Asia is still small, it's growing fast. Malaysia, for instance, started issuing retirement visas in 1996. By 1998, there were fewer than 50 holders of such visas. But by 2001, the total had grown to more than 800 and last year topped 8,700, excluding dependents. Malaysia aims to add 3,000 to 3,500 retirement visas annually over the next three years. With six you get eggroll? THERE'S NOW A THIRD GROUP THAT VALUES FLEX: There used to be two kinds of people in retirement - those who stayed home and those who didn't, observes the Wall Street Journal. Now, there's a third category: nomads who relocate when they retire, then pick up stakes a few years later and move again. And maybe even a few times after that. This wanderlust is the result of a combination of factors: the growing prevalence of decades-long retirements; a higher comfort level with moving among corporate employees who spent their careers being transferred from city to city; and an increasing number of retirees with the financial resources to move around. And one other thing: the ever-present lure of a better place to live. With time, money, health and flexibility, why not keep looking for the perfect retirement spot? There aren't many statistics available yet, but the phenomenon has become so noticeable that academics are already coming up with labels for it. Scott Wright, a gerontologist at the University of Utah in Salt Lake City, refers to the trend of retirees with itchy feet as "Fanby," for Find a New Backyard. Or, how about "Flighty?" (See next headline.) BIRDS OF FEATHER ARE FLYING TOGETHER: Even as cities are luring people back to downtown neighborhoods with their melting-pot appeal, suburban and exurban "lifestyle communities" are emerging with ever narrower niches, says the Wall Street Journal. Their market: aging baby boomers who increasingly find themselves with the time and money to pursue a singular passion, such as cars, horses or aviation. These specialized communities are popping up across the U.S. Near Ocala, Fla., where John Travolta resides along with his Boeing 707, pilot Terry Jones-Thayer is developing Jumbolair Aviation Estates, the country's largest private airstrip. In Sheperdstown, W.Va., Peter Corum is building The Crofts, an equestrian-estate community with stables, trails and lots up to 11 acres. And in suburban Dallas, Wellstone Communities and Texas aerobics guru Dr. Kenneth Cooper are developing one of the nation's first fitness villages, a 191-acre project where residents will be assigned personal trainers, doctors and dieticians. Adds the New York Times: For some Americans approaching their golden years, choosing the right place to grow old is less about golf and weather than about finding neighbors who share their attitudes and interests. Developments that cater to gays and lesbians have popped up from California to Florida. Retired Jews - or Catholics and other Christians - looking to continue a life of service and fellowship can buy homes and condos in religion-centered communities in Washington and New Jersey. Looking for fellow neopagan anarchist pansexuals? Try Pumpkin Hollow, an all-ages collective in Liberty, Tenn. The Soothsayers TRADE GROUP LOWERS ITS FORECASTS: The National Association of Realtors (NAR) says U.S. home sales this year will be lower than it predicted and projects what would be the first annual decline in the median national existing home price since it began keeping records in the late 1960s. According to David Lereah, NAR's chief economist, tighter lending standards will dampen home sales slightly, but by less than a couple of percentage points from initial projections. In his view, sales of previously owned homes likely will total 6.34 million in 2007 and 6.52 million next year in contrast to 6.48 million in 2006. He projects new-home sales to be at 904,000 this year and 935,000 in 2008, below the 1.05 million last year. And Lereah estimates housing starts to be at 1.47 million in 2007 and 1.55 million next year, down from 1.80 million units in 2006. "As home sales moderate, overall home prices will be essentially flat this year," Lereah says. "The good news is that inventories remain well below the levels experienced during the last housing downturn in the early 1990s, and supplies are close to balance in many areas." The national median existing-home price "probably" will slip 0.7 percent to $220,300 in 2007, following a 1 percent rise last year. The median new-home price is expected to increase 0.4 percent to $246,200 this year, after gaining 1.8 percent in 2006. "When you look at housing activity in 2007, especially during the first half of this year, the percentage change in median home price is being distorted as the composition of sales shifts geographically from high-cost markets to moderately priced areas in contrast with the sales distribution a year earlier," Lereah comments. "Within given markets, most areas can expect minor price gains." Overall, modest growth is expected next year, with existing-home prices increasing 1.6 percent and new-home prices rising 2 percent. FREDDIE MAC SEES HOPE FOR HOUSING RECOVERY: With rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages "steady at just above 6 percent and job growth more solidly on track, conditions are ripe for a firming in housing demand." Of course, says the Office of the Chief of Economist in its monthly report, demand is only half of the equation, and housing supply presents several challenges to the recovery. The burgeoning inventories of new homes cloud the supply picture, the report notes. Explaining how official government statistics may understate any recent improvements in new home sales and months' supply, the report adds that a correction for the distortion "bodes well" for a gradual recovery in coming months. "It is far too early, though, to declare that housing is out of the woods," the report then continues. "The turmoil in the subprime mortgage market may curtail housing demand, as some potential buyers find they no longer qualify for financing. . . Rising foreclosures may also dump new supply onto already-depressed local markets, intensifying the downward price pressures in these areas. Furthermore, the jump in homeowner vacancies last year suggests a "hidden supply" that may come on the market during the spring sales season." On the one hand. . . They must teach this stuff. SUBPRIME TURMOIL COULD HURT HOUSING MARKET: Aftershocks from the subprime market disaster will deal another body blow to the already reeling U.S. housing market, though the economy should weather this latest storm without a recession, according to a new economic forecast, notes Inman News. Says the quarterly Anderson Forecast, produced by the Anderson School of Management at University of California, Los Angeles: "Put bluntly, the credit crunch in the subprime mortgage market will likely trigger a second leg down in the housing market in terms of output and prices." Edward Leamer, forecast director and a professor of economics and statistics at UCLA, said the severity of the subprime meltdown was a surprise since the last forecast was produced. "There are sad individual stories about people who got into homes they couldn't afford," Leamer added. "I think the real story is not what's happening to the people who own homes - it's what happens to prospective buyers who might be buying a home soon. The energy of the market, a lot of it is in the subprime, low-income homes. You need new money in the market in order to fuel the price appreciation. A lot of the new home buyers have been at the lower end - start-up, entry homes. If you pull that out of the market, where's the fuel that's going to keep the fire going?" The Big Apple PRICES ROSE A BIT THIS YEAR FROM 1ST QUARTER 2006: Manhattan's median apartment price rose 1.2 percent in the first quarter from a year earlier, the smallest quarterly gain in five years, appraiser Miller Samuel Inc. and broker Prudential Douglas Elliman Real Estate announced. The median price of all co-ops and condominiums in Manhattan rose to $835,000. The growth was the slowest since the first quarter of 2002, said Jonathan Miller, president of Miller Samuel, the New York borough's largest appraiser. Units with at least four bedrooms surged 11 percent to a median $6.45 million, while studios and apartments with less than four bedrooms fell 1.2 percent to 2.8 percent. Manhattan's prices were the third-highest ever and reflect sales of 3,474 apartments. They were higher in the second and third quarters of 2006, the peak of the city's five-year housing boom. Co-ops in Manhattan make up about two-thirds of the Manhattan market. Their median price rose 1.5 percent to $675,000 for the quarter ending March 31 compared with a year earlier. Miller Samuel reported median condominium prices rose 1.6 percent to $990,000, reflecting in part an infusion of new luxury construction. Overall, the median price of studio and one-bedroom apartments fell 2.3 percent to $390,000 and $635,000, respectively, while the price of two-bedroom units fell 2.8 percent to $1.3 million and three bedrooms declined 1.2 percent to $3.1 million, Miller Samuel said. For more details, see the separate synopsis below. RENTAL
MARKET REMAINS STRONG:
Manhattan landlords shouldn't expect to have any trouble renting their
units this year, but they may not get the huge rent increases they enjoyed
last year, according to Real Deal magazine. In 2006, the Manhattan residential
vacancy rate remained below 1 percent, and that number rose incrementally
to 1.34 percent in February. But given the normal seasonal fluctuations
in the rental market, that could be its peak. For the city as a whole,
the vacancy rate is expected to increase 10 basis points, or 0.1 percent,
to 2.8 percent, according to Marcus & Millichap's 2007 National Apartment
Report. This year, developers will add just 3,200 new rental units citywide
- 2,700 in Manhattan, according to Marcus & Millichap. INVESTORS ARE GLOMMING ON TO RENTAL PROPERTIES: Real estate investment funds, foreign and institutional investors, and local operators are snapping up rental properties across New York City, according to the Sun. Next month, a joint venture comprising a local investment group and a prominent real estate investment fund is expected to close on the purchase of a portfolio of 4,000 units on the Upper West Side and Harlem. The joint venture is paying about $250,000 a unit, or $1 billion in total, for many of these buildings, which were constructed and financed through the Mitchell-Lama program. And the Sun has learned that a local investor is in contract to purchase 800 apartments and numerous stores in 33 buildings on the Upper East Side. Overall, the market is buzzing. "With land becoming more and more scarce in Manhattan and capital still flowing into the island like waves breaking ashore, the keen demand for existing residential rental property is as great as I remember in my more than two decades in the industry," the director and principal at Eastern Consolidated Properties, Alan Miller, said. "Competition for deals is intense, with bidding wars erupting for almost every available property that comes to market." Investors from around the globe are looking to invest in New York City, as evidenced by the recent sale of the East Harlem residential portfolio owned by Steven Kessner to a group from Britain. The purchaser, Dawnay, Dale Group, bought a portfolio of 48 walk-up and elevator apartment buildings for about $225 million. The portfolio includes 1,141 apartments and 67 retail stores that sold for about 13 times the gross rent roll. ONE
BLOCK IS A STANDOUT:
In 2006 East 78th Street between Fifth and Madison avenues, a beautiful
townhouse block, was the site of $100 million worth of home sales in three
of Manhattan's biggest deals since 2005, says the monthly Real Deal magazine.
In September, Mayor Michael Bloomberg purchased 25 East 78th Street for
$45 million. The six-story, 18,000-square-foot Stanford White-designed
house will serve as the headquarters for his philanthropic foundation.
In the same month, 6 East 78th Street sold for $21 million, which was
not expensive enough to make the top 25 list. Across the street, at 28
East 78th Street, is another six-story Stanford White-designed mansion,
which sold in 2005 for $34 million. Another block that saw a flurry of
activity last year is East 70th Street between Park and Lexington avenues.
Buildings there also fetched impressive prices, including 118 East 70th
Street, which Woody Allen purchased for $22.625 million, and 125 East
70th Street, once the home of art collector and philanthropist Paul Mellon,
which traded for $22.5 million. Some of the borough's priciest sales are
closing on blocks near Columbus Circle: The $45 million sale of a unit
at 15 Central Park West set a record for a condo sale in the city. "We're
Central Park-centric as a city, unlike other metro areas, where they are
water-centric," said Jonathan Miller, president and CEO of appraisal
firm Miller Samuel. Of the top 25 deals from January 2006 through the
end of February, as determined by public records and PropertyShark.com,
one thing is apparent: New condominium projects are fetching staggering
prices and constituting a greater percentage of the list. Additionally,
"there's surprisingly little representation Downtown," Miller
said. In fact, there are no Downtown properties on the list, mostly likely
because pricey new condo units haven't yet closed. The most expensive
downtown sale since January 2006 was a $19.47 million purchase at 165
Charles Street, followed by a sale at 13 Bank Street for $14.95 million.
Seven of the 25 top sales by price were made on the West Side overlooking
the park. The East Side had 18 of the top 25 sales, with many of the homes
purchased on tree-lined townhouse blocks close to the park and in rich
apartment buildings on Park and Fifth avenues. The outlook for 2007 is
promising. "This year will be a continuation of '06, because right
now we're seeing a tremendous amount of high-end properties," Miller
said. This and That ARE SOME CEOs OVERCOMPENSATING PERHAPS: Finance professors David Yermack of New York University and Crocker Liu of Arizona State University have found that when the CEO owns a trophy home, chances are higher that his company's stock is underperforming, notes Business Week in Realtor magazine. They pinpointed the addresses of 432 CEOs of S&P 500 companies at the end of 2004, learning that 12 percent of them lived in homes of at least 10,000 square feet or on a minimum of 10 acres. Stock in the companies of those who lived largest lagged behind those of S&P CEOs who lived in smaller homes by an average of 7 percent. Steven Goldman, former CEO of energy infrastructure supplier Power-One, was the worst performer. Stock in his company fell more than 30 percent in 2000, the same year he bought a 12,000 square foot beachfront property in Malibu. MARKETING COMPANY BANKS ON (SAME) SEX SELLING REAL ESTATE: Targeting the same-sex market is the luxury condo development Esperanza located in Asbury Park, N.J. - a haven for same-sex couples, according to Real Deal magazine. Said Jacqueline Urgo, executive vice president at the Marketing Directors, which is the sales agent for the project: "We followed demographic trends, and same-sex couples is a purchaser profile that we're reaching out to." The 224-unit oceanfront condo with two towers is aggressively getting its message out to prospective same-sex buyers through several avenues (none of them Eighth). In addition to participating in the Gay, Lesbian, Bisexual and Transgender Expo at the Jacob K. Javits Convention Center late last month, the company launched an ad campaign for the Esperanza modeled on a personal ad. Metro Homes is the developer. HOUSING TRENDS ARE HURTING STATES' REVENUE: State tax revenues around the country are growing far more slowly this year and in some cases falling below projections, a result of the housing market slowdown that has curbed voracious spending on real estate, building materials, furniture and other items, according to the New York Times. Nowhere is the downturn more apparent than in Florida, where tax revenue is projected to drop this year for the first time since the energy crisis of the 1970s. But other states are also seeing their collections slow, especially in the sales and real estate transfer tax categories. Maryland's real estate transfer tax revenue has tumbled by 22 percent this fiscal year, suggesting that fewer homes are being sold, prices have fallen or both. Connecticut's real estate transfer tax revenue, which state budget analysts predicted would fall by 3.6 percent, is down by 13.3 percent so far. Some states have defied the trend, chiefly among them New York, where the housing market has been bolstered by sales in Manhattan. The prices and number of apartments selling in Manhattan rose in the first three months of this year, according to data released last week by several of New York City's largest real estate brokerages. MORTGAGE LENDERS ARE TRIMMING THEIR RANKS: Real estate firms cut jobs during the first quarter at the same pace as last year, but job losses in the mortgage lending industry nearly doubled for the period, according to a consulting firm that helps workers find new jobs, says Inman News. Announced job cuts in the real estate industry totaled 1,149 during the first quarter, about the same as the 1,152 tracked during the same quarter of 2006 by Challenger, Gray & Christmas Inc., a New York-based outplacement job consulting firm. There were 3,490 announced job cuts in real estate in 2006, Challenger said in a report. Mortgage lenders announced 6,138 job cuts in the first quarter of 2007 compared with 3,497 in the same period last year, the report said. There were 12,874 announced job cuts in mortgage lending last year. Announced job cuts in housing construction totaled 13,958 during the first quarter - more than double the 6,450 positions eliminated in all of 2006. Announced job cuts in all three housing related industries during the first quarter alone totaled 21,245 in contrast to the 22,814 jobs lost in all of 2006, the report said. BE CAREFUL WHAT YOU WISH FOR: When Jesus and Michelle Jacobo won ABC television's "Extreme Makeover: Home Edition," it seemed like their troubles would be over, notes the Kansas City Star in Realtor magazine. But winning such a valuable prize gave them a new source of anxiety: the Internal Revenue Service. The Jacobos' property taxes will double and they owe taxes on the value of their increased home equity and furnishings. And they still owe $121,000 on their old mortgage. Kevin Green, a Kansas City home builder who coordinated the local volunteers who worked on the project, has raised $50,000 to pay the Jacobos' bills, but he is still $71,000 short of enough to bring the family current with the IRS and their mortgage company. Jesus Jacobo, 39, builds cranes and Michelle Jacobo, 38, cares for their four children and five nieces and nephews of whom they have gained custody or have adopted. A grandparent also lives with them. Their old home had 912 square feet while their new one has 5,338. THEY DON'T USUALLY UNEARTH AN ISSUE LIKE THIS: An investor in a property near Fort Lauderdale, Fla., is suing the previous owners saying that he failed to disclose that there had been Native American bones found beneath the property, says the South Florida Sun-Sentinel in Realtor magazine. In December 2005, Yitzchok Schwartz paid $5.8 million for a 5,616 square-foot house in Highland Beach and subdivided it into 14 efficiencies. In court papers filed with the suit, Schwartz says he wants the sale rescinded and his money back because the bones are preventing him from expeditiously redeveloping the property. The remains require Schwartz to hire experts to determine whether the bones need to be relocated or protected, according to state law - both of which can be costly. Roderick Coleman, an attorney representing previous owner Bibb Latane, says the law exempts sellers from having to disclose any homicide, suicide or death that occurred at a property. The bones, he maintains, are the result of a death on the property. From his point of view, possible homicide is a good thing? THE TIMES QUESTIONS THE WISDOM OF BUYING OVER RENTING: In an analysis of buying vs. renting in every major metropolitan area, the newspaper of record looked at data on housing costs and different possibilities for the path of home prices in coming years, concluding that the costs that come with buying a home - mortgage payments, property taxes, fees to real estate agents - remain a lot higher than the costs of renting. So buyers in many places are basically betting that home prices will rise smartly in the near future, says the Times. Over the next five years, which is about the average amount of time recent buyers have remained in their homes, prices in the Los Angeles area would have to rise more than 5 percent a year for a typical buyer there to do better than a renter. The same is true in Phoenix, Las Vegas, the New York region, Northern California and South Florida, according to the Times. In the Boston and Washington areas, the break-even point is about 4 percent. "House prices have to fall more before housing becomes a clear buy again," says Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody's Economy.com, which helped conduct the analysis. "These markets aren't as overvalued as they were a year ago or two years ago, but they're still unfriendly." There is obviously no way to know what home prices will do in the next few years. After the last big run-up in house prices, in the 1980s, a long slump followed. In the New York area, prices peaked in early 1989 and then fell 9 percent over the next three years, according to government data. (Adjusted for inflation, the drop was much bigger.) Not until 1998 did prices pass their earlier peak. For a critique of the Times' approach, check out felixsalmon.com/000833.html. THOSE HOMES ARE MEANT FOR WALKIN': The next hot market nationwide could be homes in walkable neighborhoods designed for the 75 percent of families that don't have any school-age children, according to Christopher B. Leinberger, a Brookings Institution fellow. Realtor magazine quotes him as saying in Builder magazine that up to 40 percent of Americans want to live in urban places where they can walk to restaurants, shop, jobs and entertainment. He predicts that the move to downtown may well lead the housing market out of its slump. "Downtown living is the preferred alternative," he says. Leinberger believes that one of the best aspects of walkable neighborhoods is that locals are virtually income neutral. In other words, well-heeled empty-nesters and cash-strapped first-time home buyers alike are able to choose the same neighborhoods, even if they can't afford the same interior designs, says architect Rick Emsiek, a partner with McLarand, Vasquez, Emsiek & Partners in Irvine, Calif. Other urban living trends: More sales to single women who will choose cities as they become safer; more pressure by cities on builder to mix residential with retail so service workers can live where they work; cities will cater to the childless while families will move to the suburbs; and empty nesters and their grown children will live near each other in townhouses and condominiums. Boldface A FORMERLY FAT ROYAL IS LIVING HIGH ON THE HOG: Sarah Ferguson, the royal squeeze of restaurateur Giuseppe Cipriani, will be living closer to her boyfriend, reports the New York Post. Sources are quoted as saying the Duchess of York is buying a large two-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath pied-a-terre in the Cipriani Club Residences at 55 Wall St., where she already stays while visiting Manhattan. The Slim-Fast poster girl, who reportedly will have a regular gig on the "Today" show, has been a fixture at the Cipriani concert series in the ballroom downstairs from the flat. Decorated in a classic style, the beige-colored apartment is of Naomi Campbell. The ex-wife of Prince Andrew is expected to fork over something close to the $2.95 million asking price. She would be well advised to stay beyond cell phone-throwing distance. WYATT HOME IS ON THE MARKET: The longtime Bel-Air, Calif., home of the late actress Jane Wyatt has gone on the market for just under $6 million, says the Wall Street Journal. Architect Paul R. Williams, whose celebrity clients included Frank Sinatra and Lucille Ball, designed the six-bedroom home in 1936. The house has three fireplaces, a slate roof, a wine cellar, an office and a wood-paneled media room with a wet bar. An apartment above the four-car garage has its own deck and meditation garden. The roughly 0.67-acre lot, on a promontory overlooking the city, also has a tiered garden with a hedge maze. Wyatt and her husband, the late Edgar Ward, bought the property in the 1960s and raised their children there. Wyatt, who died in October at age 96, is best known for playing Margaret Anderson in the 1950s sitcom "Father Knows Best," for which she won three Emmy Awards. She also starred in the 1937 Frank Capra film "Lost Horizon" and played Spock's human mother in the original "Star Trek" series. HERE'S A MOVE THAT WAY OUT OF THE PARK: Roger Goodell, the new commissioner of the National Football League, and wife Jane Skinner, a Fox News daytime anchor, who have twin daughters, sold its seven-room co-op at 180 East End Avenue late last month for $2.725 million, according to the Observer. Their deeds show that the Goodells are living in Bronxville - where the commissioner went to high school, starring in three sports, including football. Tentative 2007 tax records value that Bronxville house at $5,158,400. IT'S ALL IN THE TOWER FOR TV TITAN: Norman Lear is movin' on up to the West Side. Sources told the New York Post that the creator of such classic sitcoms as "All in the Family," "Maude" and "The Jeffersons" is plunking down nearly $10 million for a classic-style condo at 15 Central Park West. The approximately 2,800-square-foot pied-a-terre, with two bedrooms and two and a half baths is in the tower of the two-building complex. For years, Lear had a sprawling 15-room apartment on the East Side at 828 Fifth Ave. The 84-year-old entertainment mogul/political activist and his wife, Lyn, are said to have hired interior designer Thad Hayes, whose clients include the Lauder family. Lear will join notables Sting and Denzel Washington, among others. HE FINALLY APPROVES A MEAN DEAL ON THIS STREET: Martin Scorsese has finally sold his Upper East Side townhouse, notes the Wall Street Journal. The Academy Award-winning director and his fifth wife, Helen will soon depart their East 62nd Street home, a four-story residence that he bought 20 years ago. Between Second and Third avenues, the "mint-condition" residence was first listed over a year ago. It had a last asking price of $6.7 million. Included in the five-bedroom, six-bathroom mansion is a spacious double parlor and formal dining room with wood-burning fireplaces, a landscaped garden, two kitchens, a wine cellar, nanny's quarters, a large media room, an elevator and state-of-the-art entertainment and security systems. Scorsese bought the home in 1987 for $1.75 million when he was married to his fourth wife, movie producer Barbara De Fina. Sources say the Scorseses have found a new place farther uptown to be closer to their 8-year-old daughter Francesca's private school. Research FEWER PENDING HOME SALES ARE RECORDED: A forward-looking index based on pending home sales indicates that bad weather - and possibly the loss of some subprime lending - will soften sales closed in March and April, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The Pending Home Sales Index, based on contracts signed in February, stood at 109.3 - down 8.5 percent from February 2006 when it reached 119.4. It is 0.7 percent higher, however, than a downwardly revised reading of 108.5 in January. In the view of David Lereah, NAR's chief economist, "If it wasn't for the unusually bad weather in February, we'd be seeing a better performance in pending home sales." He adds that there may have been "some fallout" from a decline in subprime lending, suggesting that a slight improvement in the more volatile month-to-month index is "encouraging." IS YOUR ZIP CODE AMONG THE 10 WEALTHIEST: During the five-year boom in housing prices, the prices in the nation's richest zip codes rose dramatically, according to Business Week in Realtor magazine. For the United States as a whole, the five-year increase in the Standard & Poor's Case-Shiller Home Price Index was 63.7 percent, while the increase was 79.5 percent for those zip codes with a median sales price of $750,000 or more, according to Fiserv Lending Solutions, which supplies data and software to lenders. The 10 U.S. Zip codes with the greatest appreciation in median property values since 2001 (based on prices from the second quarter of 2001 to 2006) were, respectively: Greenwich, Conn. (06831), $2,983,000, 49.3 percent; Newport Beach, Calif. (92661), $2,500,000, 132.2 percent; Paradise Valley, Ariz. (85253), $1,850,000, 100.4 percent; Avalon, N.J. (08202), $1,687,500, 125.7 percent; Cambridge, Mass. (02138), $1,395,500, 22.4 percent; Glen Head, N.Y. (11545), $1,150,000, 67.2 percent; Islamorada, Fla. (33036), $1,150,000; 204.3 percent; Chevy Chase, Md. (20815), $1,043,000, 94.8 percent; Hinsdale, Ill. (60521), $950,000, 48.4 percent; and Bellevue, Wash. (98004), $950,000, 83.9 percent. THE
ATLANTA AREA IS GROWING FASTEST: According to population estimates
for all metro areas by the U.S. Census Bureau, the Atlanta metro area
gained 890,000 residents from April 1, 2000, to July 1, 2006, the largest
numerical gain of the nation's 361 metro areas. The Northeast metro area
with the greatest numeric change was New York (seventh overall nationally),
while the Midwest metro area with the greatest numeric change over the
same period was Chicago (10th overall nationally). New York was the most
populous metro area on July 1, 2006, with 18.8 million people, followed
by Los Angeles (13 million) and Chicago (9.5 million). Fourteen metro
areas had populations of 4 million or more. Out and About That's Entertainment Enjoying renewed cachet because of the soaring developments around Columbus Circle, Lincoln Square to the north has proved to be a bustling, vibrant part of New York City. The name of both a square and the surrounding neighborhood in Manhattan, Lincoln Square is centered at the intersection of Broadway and Columbus Avenue between W. 65th and W. 66th streets. In the words of its Business Improvement District (BID), the area combines a thriving commercial and retail presence, world-renowned cultural institutions and entertainment facilities, and a large residential community all in one neighborhood. Anchored by Lincoln Center for the Performing Arts , the magnificent Time Warner Center and the nearly completed 15 Central Park West, this fashionable, cosmopolitan Upper West Side neighborhood features an abundance of fine restaurants, cafes, specialty stores and increasing numbers of large retailers, state of the art health care facilities, educational institutions, and more. Street life bustles with an energetic vitality in this 24/7 community. Wikipedia notes that the early part of the 1900s, the Upper West Side area south of 67th Street was heavily populated by African-Americans and supposedly gained its nickname then of San Juan Hill in commemoration of African-American soldiers who were a major part of the assault on Cuba's San Juan Hill in the Spanish-American War. But by 1960, the area was a rough neighborhood of tenement housing and was used for exterior shots in the movie musical West Side Story. Urban renewal then swept through with the construction of the Lincoln Center for the Performing Arts and Lincoln Towers apartments during 1962–1968. In recent years, Lincoln has been rejuvenated, if not renewed again, in a wave of new or newly converted condos. One of particular note occasions the foregoing neighborhood description – a 22nd-floor apartment in a 41-story building that was built in 1998. The six-and-a-half-room apartment is exceptional by almost any standard. With three bedrooms, three and a half marble baths, top-of-the-line spacious center-island kitchen, this 2,453-sf apartment boasts extraordinary panoramic views east, north and west, including most of Central Park, from all but one or two rooms. Among its other assets are room-controlled heating and air conditioning, abundant closet space, excellent layout and very well proportioned rooms. Of course, there is a washer-dryer, and the white-glove doorman and concierge building of 42 units allows pets. Such luxury does not come cheap: $6.2 million with $2,788 in common charges. Another apartment a few blocks north does not compare well, even taking into account the obvious difference in scale. A one-bedroom unit in a post-war building, this 750-sf co-op needs a new kitchen, higher ceilings, better views, better hardwood floors and a bigger bedroom. Otherwise, it's just lovely. Priced to match recent sales, this undistinguished unit is asking a lot of buyers at $727,000 with monthly maintenance of $394. In the heart of the area, two apartments have been combined into a co-op with four bedrooms, three somewhat dated baths, a smallish but renovated windowed kitchen with breakfast, scads of closet space, a 30' x 13' living room, separate dining area and terrace. The apartment, which has a sensible layout that separates the entertainment and sleeping areas, is in a first-class post-war building with the usual range of amenities – among them, a 24-hour garage and even an emergency co-generator. The price is commensurate with the quality: $3.7 million with $2,477 in monthly maintenance. Elsewhere in Manhattan, following is a small sample of properties listed by various brokers that have been seen since the last Realty Digest:
1st
Quarter Market Update Overview The Manhattan residential real estate market entered 2007 with a surge in the number of sales, declining inventory, rising prices and shorter marketing times, reports CEO Jonathan J. Miller of Miller Samuel Inc. in this synopsis. Record bonus income and stabilizing mortgage rates helped foster the significant increase in demand this quarter. The rise in demand has helped reduce inventory, shorten marketing times and reduce listing discounts. Key Statistics Number
of sales. Up 73.3 percent from same period
last year, a record (but some of the increases are because of co-ops added
to public record). Buyers are returning to the market.
For the complete
report, please click here: I
want to know more New
Listings Some of Manhattan's Latest Listings Below
are just a few of the newest listings of condominiums and cooperatives
put on the market by various brokers. To see photos, more information and scores of other listings by brokers throughout New York City and Long Island, please visit our website at http://www.ServiceYouCanTrust.com, then click on the appropriate area. To view details of a particular property listed above you will need to note the address. Click Here to Sign Up For Your Free Issue of Realty Digest!
Contact Information email: info@ServiceYouCanTrust.com
©
2007 Service You Can Trust |
||
![]() |
Prudential Douglas Elliman Real Estate® New York Office 212.891.7684 |
|
|
|
||